Monday, August 20, 2007

Sierra Leone elections

As you can see, I'm having some problems getting the Google spreadsheet onto the blog, but the outlook is becoming clear. Koroma will certainly get the largest share of the votes, but nowhere near the 55% necesary to avoid a run-off. Margai has now said he prefers Koroma to Berewa, but that doesn't mean that all PMDC voters will follow his line in the next round. Mende voters may prefer Berewa for reasons of ethnic loyalty, whatever they may think of the relative objective merits of the two remaining candidates. The final poll will be on September 6, and will be close.

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